Deterministic View
When we treat a chaotic system as a static room, we need to first set up a coordinate through which we can measure the system and find regions of interest.
Through experience there are two ways to set up the coordinate: the first way is by using the option and the odds for each option to set up the coordinate (option, option_odds); the second way is by using a reference from the primary market like MoneyLine to set up the coordinate (option, primary_reference).
A subspace is defined as a point (x, y) in a coordinate. The following chart allows you to check net profit of all subspaces from different systems in the Option × Option_odds coordinate assuming 1 dollar/bet.
We don't bet for many years in practice but use conditional triggers to trigger percentage betting sequences in positive regions. The conditional trigger can be a specific timing like the start or end of the season, or just one hit in that region. We decide by experience. Our goal is to get a high density winning streak in a short time. With a percentage around 20%, the ROI can climb above 10,000.
Case "2025-03 (-5~-1)" is the sequence of all bets of '-5~-1' with odds no less than 8 from 3/1/25 to 3/20/25; Case "2025-10 (<-26)" is the sequence of all bets of '<-26' with odds between 25 and 42 from 10/23/25 to 10/28/25. The principal is 1,000 dollars. The stake is a fixed percentage of the accumulated principle.
The deterministic view helps us concentrate on a handful of subspaces, and a simple conditional trigger can get us a good sequence that grows the initial principal more than 1,000-fold in a few days.
The primary market provides a reliable reference for its related chaotic systems. And we use a method called Projective Integration for looking for regions of interest. A continuously positive slope is the indicator for a good region.
The following chart allows you to check the accumulated sum of the ES system net profit for different leagues.
We can also use the linear combination of several primary references to build the coordinate. But the risk of overfitting is high. We won't be talking more about it for now.